Price Distortions

Since the mid-1990s the dollar exchange rate has mostly anticipated the outcome of FOMC meetings: it appreciated in the days before a rate hike...

A new paper proposes a practical method for identifying asset price bubbles. First, one estimates deviations of prices from fundamentals based on three different...

There is evidence that the financial system has adapted to low fixed income yields through an expansion of explicit and implicit short volatility strategies....

Overconfidence in personal beliefs and inattention to new trends are widespread in financial markets. If specific behavioural biases become common across investors they constitute...

The share of passive investment vehicles in financial markets has soared over the past 20 years. In the U.S. equity market it has risen...

Relative value can be defined as expected price convergence of contracts or portfolios with similar risk profiles. For fixed income this means similar exposure...

Since the great financial crisis conventional measures of the covered interest parity across currencies have regularly broken down. Two developments seem to explain this....

Forward bias in foreign exchange markets means that a positive interest rate differential precedes currency appreciation. It has been an empirical regularity in developed...

Experimental research has produced robust evidence for mispricing of assets relative to their fundamental values even with active trading and sufficient information. Academic studies...

Explosiveness in financial markets means that prices display exponential growth. In recent years statistical tests have been developed to locate mildly explosive bubble periods...