Tag: time series analysis

The average annualized return of local-currency index futures for 25 international markets has been 6% with a standard deviation of just under 20%. All...

Since the mid-1990s the dollar exchange rate has mostly anticipated the outcome of FOMC meetings: it appreciated in the days before a rate hike...

Understanding endogenous market risk (“setback risk”) is critical for timing and risk management of strategic macro trades. Endogenous market risk here means a gap...